Andy Burnham llega al recuento de la elección parcial de Makerfield mientras el Laborismo confía en vencer a la Reforma

<gu-island deferuntil="visible" name="KeyEventsCarousel" priority="feature" props="{"keyEvents":[{"id":"6a34e20e8f08c4f67d4d36a6","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Harriet Harman</strong>, the former <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/labour" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Labour</a> deputy leader, has said that she thinks Labour MPs, and not party members, should choose the next leader.</p>","elementId":"31810b0b-c9a1-4cb9-88a8-939aed912120"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The party's rules say, if there is a contest, all members get a vote.</p>","elementId":"554dbe84-b198-4993-a140-5c9b95d1f33a"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>But Harman told the Today programme this morning that, with the party in power, MPs should take the decision. 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So whoever's prime minister has to have the support of Labour MPs.</p>n <p>And I think what should happen is that the three contenders – which is obviously Keir Starmer, who's the prime minister, Andy Burnham, who's the challenger, and Wes Streeting, who's also a challenger – should be got in a room by the deputy leader of the Labour Party, Lucy Powell, and the chair of the parliamentary Labour party, Jess Morden, to agree a process whereby the Labour MPs choose who they they want.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"4489ad3d-98e6-46e5-aee6-19c40c0838da"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Harman said she would also like to see a woman in the contest.</p>","elementId":"588a63a0-0343-4dfd-a0dc-66e41e7670b0"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked why members should be excluded from voting, Harman said that while it was right to involve them when the party was in opposition, it should be different when the party is in government because “you can't govern without the support of Labour MPsâ€.</p>","elementId":"4f6e9d82-3625-4e2a-a2cf-50cd71db3460"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked if she thought Burnham would end up as PM, she said that she did not want to speculate, but that she did think there should be a process.</p>","elementId":"3bfb42cc-85c8-4498-9c55-21d1ff1910af"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781850638000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"07.30 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781851526000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"07.45 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781851310000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"07.41 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"07.41","title":"Harriet Harman says Labour MPs, not party members, should choose next leader","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34deaa8f083b97ede8b97f","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Patrick Hurley</strong>, the Labour MP for Southport, was until recently, and even after the local elections, arguing <a href="https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/starmer-labour-leader-patrick-hurley-b2974861.html">it would be a mistake for Labour to get rid of Keir Starmer.</a></p>","elementId":"75b151db-a1e9-40cd-95e9-27e2e622246e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>In an interview on the Today programme this morning, Hurley said he had changed his mind. He explained:</p>","elementId":"11a837d7-71c7-4b11-bef9-55c661be65c3"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>I've been loyal to Keir Starmer publicly and privately. And I think he'll go down in history as a monumental figure in Labour party politics. He absolutely changed the party from top to bottom after the defeat in 2019, which was a historic defeat. And within five years he'd taken us to a historic victory.</p>n <p>But I do think that to everything there is a season. And I think right now we need a transition to something new.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"20d1b090-5145-4a1d-a296-652624935357"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked why he had changed his mind, Hurley said that, while Starmer was “methodical†and “forensicâ€, what people wanted from politicians was “speed, urgency, decisive actionâ€.</p>","elementId":"768a3e6a-2e1d-48f0-9a7c-06ec9825d124"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>He went on:</p>","elementId":"b2e64d6f-fed8-4128-b5e6-62a8e2ecaa3f"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>After two years, I think what the people of the country are telling me what they want. I think we should be listening to them. We can't continue to tell the electorate that they're wrong.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"fd8e2b9d-713a-4762-9fb2-3d136b0fb96e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Hurley also told the programe that he did not think there should be a formal leadership election because that would take too long.</p>","elementId":"3831fa3b-424f-40e3-a602-753a975113d8"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781849770000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"07.16 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781850464000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"07.27 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781850422000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"07.27 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"07.27","title":"Labour MP Patrick Hurley says he's recently changed mind about PM, saying 'we can't continue to tell voters they're wrong'","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34d3298f08c4f67d4d3627","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Good morning if you are just joining the blog.</p>","elementId":"61a333d4-4f42-4d47-a3f2-c569c0f968c7"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Andy Burnham</strong> was expected to win the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/makerfield-byelection" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Makerfield byelection</a>, but he's won big – by a huge margin. Here is <strong>Josh Halliday</strong>'s story.</p>","elementId":"1afd4fe1-d6de-497e-83ed-f9d9e60cc2f4"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement","prefix":"Related: ","text":"Andy Burnham wins huge majority in Makerfield byelection, paving way for Starmer leadership challenge","elementId":"bbff988f-8b1e-4f2c-91b4-06e40860399f","role":"thumbnail","url":"https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/19/andy-burnham-wins-makerfield-byelection-paving-way-labour-leadership-challenge"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Here are the full figures from the count.</p>","elementId":"960b7c6b-6e19-47fa-b501-9edecfe962e2"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.InteractiveAtomBlockElement","css":"@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff2) 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Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff2) format("woff2"),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff) format("woff"),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.ttf) format("truetype");font-weight:900;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Titlepiece;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-titlepiece/noalts-not-hinted/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff2) format("woff2"),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-titlepiece/noalts-not-hinted/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff) format("woff"),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-titlepiece/noalts-not-hinted/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.ttf) 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Source: </div></div></div>n"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Today the attention will focus on what happens next.</p>","elementId":"674a9730-a4e3-43c8-aa88-e7aa76dcc65b"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Keir Starmer</strong> has posted a short message on social media congratulating Burnham, but it is very much a holding statement. (See<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a34cf838f083b97ede8b911#block-6a34cf838f083b97ede8b911"> 6.14pm</a>.) As <strong>Pippa Crerar</strong> reported in <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/17/exclusive-burnham-team-convince-ministers-delay-resignations-avoid-chaos">her comprehensive over-view 36 hours ago</a>, Starmer has been wanting to fight to keep his job. But the scale of Burnham's victory changes the balance of power between the two men, and the Burnham camp is now openly saying (albeit politely) that it wants Starmer to accept a timetable for a handover to the new Makerfield mayor. (See<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a348e0f8f087fb1fe061bd1#block-6a348e0f8f087fb1fe061bd1"> 2.05pm</a>.) The Home Office minister <strong>Mike Tapp</strong> was the main Labour voice making the counter, Starmer-loyalist argument in broadcast studios overnight. He claimed letting Burnham take over would trigger “credible calls for a general election†– which no Labour MP wants – ignoring the fact that, when Labour called for an election after Liz Truss replaced Boris Johnson, and after Rishi Sunak replaced Truss, the Conservative government found it very easy to take no notice of said “credible callsâ€.</p>","elementId":"46271861-e985-479a-b475-0de1c5db3b62"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The mainstream commentariat view seems to be that it's when, not if, Starmer concedes, and agrees a timetable for his departure. (See <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a34b8078f083b97ede8b88b#block-6a34b8078f083b97ede8b88b">4.50pm</a>.) But the Burnham team have not said yet what handover date they want (Burnam probaby wants by Labour conference in September; Starmer would probably prefer by next summer) and there is no confirmation yet that Starmer will comply. He has the right to insist on a formal leadership election, and this remains a possibility.</p>","elementId":"064d344f-7a5f-4091-ba4f-09c436f4d585"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>It was a bad night for Reform UK. (See <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a34b8078f083b97ede8b88b#block-6a34b8078f083b97ede8b88b">4.50am</a> and <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a34c57e8f08c4f67d4d35e2#block-6a34c57e8f08c4f67d4d35e2">5.30pm</a>.)</p>","elementId":"f680cad7-f315-4eb9-b410-cda75199b2eb"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>But the Conservatives had a very good result in <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/uk/scotland" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Scotland</a>. <strong>Severin Carrell</strong> has the story here.</p>","elementId":"450314da-b82d-4cd8-b8f2-23eff9fb00c2"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement","prefix":"Related: ","text":"Scottish Conservatives win Aberdeen South, ousting SNP ","elementId":"023b6126-53a8-4e28-8bbf-59c90f897b2c","role":"thumbnail","url":"https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/19/snp-concedes-aberdeen-south-with-scottish-conservatives-set-to-win"}],"attributes":{"pinned":true,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781846825000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"06.27 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781849055000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"07.04 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781848504000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"06.55 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"06.55","title":"Pressure on Starmer to yield premiership intensifies after Burnham trounces Reform UK in Makerfield","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34cf838f083b97ede8b911","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Keir Starmer</strong> has congratulated Andy Burnham on his byelection victory. In a post on social media, he<a href="https://x.com/Keir_Starmer/status/2067835432667111533"> says</a>:</p>","elementId":"0c82ec90-4fbc-4a6d-959f-3c627f5ca2c0"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Congratulations, @AndyBurnhamGM, Labour's new MP for Makerfield.</p>n <p>Voters chose Labour's campaign of hope and optimism over division and hate.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"77b11134-728d-42ce-bca9-115b66c31bdc"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Others might say it was not Labour's campaign of hope and optimism, but Burnham's.</p>","elementId":"63238c55-1bcf-4f03-9f2f-bcd6d60715a2"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781845891000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"06.11 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781846095000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"06.14 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781846096000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"06.14 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"06.14","title":"Starmer congratulates Burnham, saying voters chose ‘Labour's campaign of hope and optimism over division and hate’","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34b8078f083b97ede8b88b","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Here is a round-up of what some journalists and commentators are saying about Andy Burnham's win.</p>","elementId":"8c3d0912-08c4-49e8-b361-72c3d1763274"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><a href="https://x.com/jessicaelgot/status/2067795780686012534">From</a> my colleague <strong>Jessica Elgot</strong></p>","elementId":"5d3f6884-f557-466a-9cfd-05ca8d5f9c34"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>It now seems beyond any doubt that Burnham will be prime minister. Labour MPs will look at that result – the consolidation of the progressive vote, the swathes of ex-Reform voters returning to Labour – and they won't be able to wait long.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"88c68f2c-bb11-456d-bc32-e3254df569ac"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>One (very knowledgeable!) Labour MP told me a week after the campaign launch that they were confident @AndyBurnhamGM would get more than @joshsimonsmp majority. I always kept it in the back of my mind. It was actually almost double.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"6db992f8-04b8-45a5-b59c-a328df0b2216"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><a href="https://x.com/patrickkmaguire/status/2067796010454159852">From</a> <strong>Patrick Maguire</strong> from the Times</p>","elementId":"3708a83e-8910-498b-a1da-487882890b5a"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Andy Burnham is going to be prime minister and he is going to be prime minister soon. He is now the only electoral show in town for the Labour Party. The only question now is how quickly others arrive on this plane of reality.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"c708eb68-9b51-45c9-9381-5839a4cb3e26"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><a href="https://x.com/maitlis/status/2067799025810649185">From</a> <strong>Emily Maitlis</strong> from the News Agents podcast</p>","elementId":"591988e7-d234-4df3-85ad-cca99e5293e9"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Makerfield: Burnham has increased his party's share of the vote astonishingly – with the help of tactical voting from Lib Dem's , Greens and very possibly Tories too.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"39dff79b-580a-4e3e-a894-d4724cbce000"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Before this result – one current cabinet member told me that they would simply not allow “ a Burnham coronation “ and would feel the need to throw their hat into the ring if it were headed that way. I wonder if that still stands with the scale of this result ? <a href="https://x.com/hashtag/Makerfield?src=hashtag_click">#Makerfield</a></p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"5d880545-bf0c-41a2-91b0-1afa1cc45b79"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><a href="https://x.com/benwansell/status/2067800282973548578">From </a><strong>Ben Ansell</strong>, a politics professor</p>","elementId":"a5cc492a-298c-40cf-a6ad-e6328a3e2c6e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Increasingly likely we won't see PM Nigel Farage. That was a poor result for Reform in Makerfield. And a Tory win in Aberdeen South on top.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"3a817ff5-1179-4275-86f4-00062ace1b5c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><a href="https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/2067793618111271251">From</a> <strong>Luke Tryl</strong>, the More in Common pollster</p>","elementId":"201596b0-f2f9-4545-a782-dd7e7e79a306"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Nearly a 10,000 majority that's a seismic result for Labour, if the proof of concept was winning on hostile turf Burnham has done it, uniting the left vote and holding Reform to under 3 pts higher than at the General Election.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"44b04a2f-1db4-4823-a715-784747632431"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Think this is unarguably Reform's worst night since General Election.</p>n <p>1) Barely any increase in their vote share in Makerfield. 20pt Labour win in a seat that was one of their best second places in 2024.</p>n <p>2) Tories show proof of life and even momentum in battle for the right with Aberdeen South win</p>n <p>3) Restore Britain take 7%, replicated elsewhere in fragmented politics Reform's path to govt becomes very very hard.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"03d24e97-d0e2-4ebf-9b68-07e2a3a27439"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><a href="https://x.com/BNHWalker/status/2067798256998879341">From</a> the New Statesman's <strong>Ben Walker</strong></p>","elementId":"84f67d2f-38a3-4c19-8ee8-9b83bf53a60d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>No poll had Burnham doing as well as this or Reform as worse. Off the charts.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"2b4c539a-a6fb-400d-ad8f-2150e98d6cb3"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><a href="https://x.com/PaulBrandITV/status/2067799350604861780">From</a> ITV's <strong>Paul Brand</strong></p>","elementId":"ff1605a5-94a2-459c-a8ef-3dff42570cdb"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Aside from the specific circumstances of Makerfield and Andy Burnham's personal profile, a pattern is emerging in recent by-elections… Caerphilly, Gorton and Denton, Makerfield… the tactical vote to keep Reform ‘out' is being mobilised with significant impact. Tactical voting is cemented as a defining feature of our politics.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"6c61dad2-661b-402f-bfb3-c07909878fbf"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><a href="https://x.com/adampayne26/status/2067812277214957911">From</a> <strong>Adam Payne</strong> from PoliticsHome</p>","elementId":"01bf82c1-7889-4a84-9468-54a421ce31b8"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>That's just a staggering result for Burnham. He hasn't just ‘taken on' Reform, he's smashed them, uniting the progressive vote behind him. Remove the Restore Britain % and it still wouldn't have been close. In terms of his electoral pitch to Labour MPs, nobody else comes close.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"a96b3893-1378-43d9-92ac-f39ae8529ab1"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781839879000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"04.31 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781841057000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"04.50 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781841057000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"04.50 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"04.50","title":"What journalists and commentators are saying about Burnham’s victory","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34ad428f083b97ede8b846","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Andy Burnham's victory speech – a concise summary of themes he has set out before, encapsulated in the idea that under his leadership government policy would in future be determined by the “Makerfield test†(see <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a34a6868f08c4f67d4d351a#block-6a34a6868f08c4f67d4d351a">3.20pm</a>) – was quite powerful, for anyone still up to watch it, but tonight what matters are the numbers, not the words.</p>","elementId":"412b156b-a8bf-4b59-bbad-33d37eebc9e5"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Earlier this week the Spectator was speculating whether Burnham's lead over Reform UK would be in the low single digits or the high single digits. (See <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a33b9d88f083b97ede8ac0c#block-6a33b9d88f083b97ede8ac0c">10.02pm</a>.) There was much talk of whether, if he did win, his support would outnumber the combined Reform UK/Restore Britain vote.</p>","elementId":"0a6f7ac8-16bb-4ace-8f5c-460fc81db713"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>It turns out Burnham is 20 points up – or 13 points up if you wrap in the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/rupert-lowe" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Rupert Lowe</a> fans with the Nigel Farage fans. He achieved a swing away from Reform to Labour. In the current context, and in the light of what happened in the local elections, that is remarkable. Labour in particular, and progressive politics more widely, has been desperately searching for a Farage repellant for at least a year. Now they have found one.</p>","elementId":"897e5233-c5c8-4ed3-8b43-4474c972090c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>We heard what's coming next, because Louise Haigh helpfully set it out on the BBC; Starmer will be asked to agree an “orderly and managed†handover. (See <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a348e0f8f087fb1fe061bd1#block-6a348e0f8f087fb1fe061bd1">2.05pm</a>.) Any negotiation ultimately depends on who has the power, and who doesn't, and, in Labour politics, Burnham now looks unstoppable.</p>","elementId":"febbd7f3-429f-49b6-b818-a4c1885848e1"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781837122000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"03.45 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781838373000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"04.06 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781838040000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"04.00 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"04.00","title":"Burnham’s win – snap verdict","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34ab468f087fb1fe061ccf","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Here are the Makerfield results in full from the Press Association.</p>","elementId":"1d148c26-ca2d-48f0-b168-5af2df34cf44"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Lab hold</p>","elementId":"9254bbbe-aa41-4d3d-a96b-25c3c1baaee1"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Andy Burnham (Lab) 24,937 (54.82%, +9.62%)</p>","elementId":"5bba08e5-781e-4081-aef2-1cc7fc01881f"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Rob Kenyon (Reform) 15,696 (34.51%, +2.71%)</p>","elementId":"4883801b-69b1-48b9-a84c-bf43cc4c1a74"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Rebecca Shepherd (Restore) 3,111 (6.84%)</p>","elementId":"27e31b2f-12c7-4799-a2b5-9fa4ed143996"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Michael Winstanley (C) 997 (2.19%, -8.68%)</p>","elementId":"fb898ffc-ac3f-4d9b-beb3-0189e497358f"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Sarah Wakefield (Green) 308 (0.68%, -3.73%)</p>","elementId":"8004612f-013c-4d90-ba08-b6b8ce18b201"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Jake Austin (LD) 163 (0.36%, -6.43%)</p>","elementId":"91b8032c-acc2-4f39-8e71-ec844c6f1a44"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Count Binface (Binface) 95 (0.21%)</p>","elementId":"e5f24f08-5dc7-4723-8e95-76d91f0a10e2"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Howling Laud Hope (Loony) 45 (0.10%)</p>","elementId":"8e0a21a0-07ee-42e9-89c7-aca506727ef3"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>John Dyer (Ind) 37 (0.08%)</p>","elementId":"815d0391-782b-44ce-be66-b8c5ea942c53"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Peter Ward (Rejoin) 35 (0.08%)</p>","elementId":"aa26c060-c081-46da-986f-725e3ca96c49"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Dan Clarke (Libertarian) 18 (0.04%)</p>","elementId":"664a2c44-f901-4591-a787-3b1493363cba"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Ed Gemmell (Climate) 18 (0.04%)</p>","elementId":"0b6e222e-09b1-41d3-bd91-4b982c145424"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Robert Pownall (Ind) 18 (0.04%)</p>","elementId":"f7e57ba8-067b-4c99-ac94-34ed52181a5a"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Paul Gould (Ind) 8 (0.02%)</p>","elementId":"2cd632fc-b504-40ff-b04a-1262c1dca7d3"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Lab maj 9,241 (20.32%)</p>","elementId":"b00c60d2-943a-4336-8e17-8e175001ec46"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>3.45% swing Reform to Lab</p>","elementId":"26c6d479-abcc-42e6-9070-15b34543e683"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Electorate 77,478; Turnout 45,486 (58.71%, +6.31%)</p>","elementId":"81466743-123d-4b29-be4d-81f4949f0674"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781836614000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"03.36 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781836783000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"03.39 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781836783000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"03.39 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"03.39","title":"Full results of Makerfield byelection – with Labour on 55%, and Reform UK on 35%","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34a9618f08c4f67d4d353f","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Burnham</strong> said it would be a “wrench†to give up his job as mayor of <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/uk/greater-manchester" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Greater Manchester</a>.</p>","elementId":"4d9a1f90-f1da-45f8-8c36-61d0a3614785"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>He went on:</p>","elementId":"0296cddf-9e9b-49b9-bf03-9cecca61626e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>But I am not leaving the service of Greater Manchester.</p>n <p>I've always been clear that it can't achieve everything it should be, and we can't close the North-South divide, and we can't make all the great English cities be what they should be, without big change at the national level.</p>n <p>I always knew one day I would seek to go back to Westminster to complete that unfinished business, so that Makerfield and Greater Manchester and the north of England can fulfil their potential.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"5966f86a-8792-4e08-a621-8e36ff5aa050"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781836129000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"03.28 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781836375000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"03.32 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781836375000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"03.32 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"03.32","title":"Burnham says north of England needs ‘big change at national level’, and returning to Westminster ‘unfinished business’","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34a8538f087fb1fe061cbe","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Burnham</strong> said the vote against <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/labour" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Labour</a> at the local elections was “a loud cry for changeâ€. He went on:</p>","elementId":"e01a7c85-4388-4630-8a3c-d4dbe3f06ebd"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>We have begun to answer that to that.</p>n <p>But I do say to my own party – this is a final chance to change.</p>n <p>This is what people said directly to me on the hundreds of doorsteps that I stood on.</p>n <p>We must hear it. We must act upon it, and we must get it right.</p>n <p>There will be no second chance, but it is a chance now, from this result tonight, to build a new politics based on unity and hope, turning away from the path that takes us to a divided, politics of the kind we've seen in the United States. We must now take this path and put this country back on the right path, and bring people back together and get things working properly 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Burnham stands beside candidate Count Binface, left, and a candidate for Protect British Wildlife.","caption":"Andy Burnham stands beside candidate Count Binface, left, and a candidate for Protect British Wildlife.","credit":"Photograph: Jon Super/AP"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781835859000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"03.24 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781836711000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"03.38 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781836056000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"03.27 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"03.27","title":"Burnham says Labour now has ‘final chance to change’ and ‘must act upon it’","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34a79c8f083b97ede8b815","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Burnham</strong> said he would be an MP for all people in the constituency. 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Burnham giving his victory speech.","caption":"Andy Burnham giving his victory speech.","credit":"Photograph: Peter Byrne/PA"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781835398000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"03.16 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781835629000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"03.20 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781835630000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"03.20 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"03.20","title":"Burnham says he wants to put ‘Makerfield test’ at heart of British politics","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34a5b08f083b97ede8b805","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Burnham</strong> is speaking now.</p>","elementId":"d7eaa62f-7fa3-45e7-9b74-7ef94276fdbb"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>He 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Everyone can feel that the country isn't where it should be.</p>n <p>Tonight could, just could, be the turning point.</p>n <p>From here on, I will give everything I have got to make it so, to ensure the name, Makerfield is forever synonymous with bringing about the change this country needs, bringing back something we've lost, hope. A hope for the future.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"b8fd9e45-e83c-4d1d-abd8-2770b6115d9c"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781835184000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"03.13 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781835378000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"03.16 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781835378000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"03.16 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"03.16","title":"Burnham says he hopes his win will be ‘turning point’, and Makerfield will be ‘synonymous with change’","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34a0b08f08c4f67d4d34e9","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Here are the key results.</p>","elementId":"05b527ab-b8c0-4cb9-b925-3cd51942797e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Jake Austin, Liberal Democrats – 163</p>","elementId":"d6c83eff-7886-436a-9d8a-065ab65ab561"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Andy Burnham, Labour – 24,937</p>","elementId":"c42c38f5-7db9-46fe-81b8-2d83f53af75a"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Robert Kenyon, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/brexit-party" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Reform UK</a> – 15,696</p>","elementId":"fe1f398c-1434-484b-a297-e03ced605240"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Rebecca Shepherd, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/restore-britain" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Restore Britain</a> – 3,111</p>","elementId":"d0121ad4-a1c5-4bb1-a2fe-855e5b314f82"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Sarah Wakefield, Green party – 308</p>","elementId":"11d92e9d-4356-4de5-8a26-95c09492c999"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Michael Winstanley, Conservative Party – 997</p>","elementId":"c75d057f-28db-452c-ba5b-c52778178967"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>That means Burnham has won with a majority of 9,241.</p>","elementId":"85bc7eb0-b9f8-483f-89aa-40fab1798972"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781833904000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"02.51 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781836905000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"03.41 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781835096000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"03.11 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"03.11","title":"Burnham elected MP for Makerfield with majority of more than 9,000","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a349dec8f087fb1fe061c5f","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The Makerfield result has not yet been declared, but already Labour figures are briefing against each other. Louise Haigh has been saying Keir Starmer should agreed to an “orderly and managed†handover of power to Andy Burnham. (See <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a348e0f8f087fb1fe061bd1#block-6a348e0f8f087fb1fe061bd1">2.05pm</a>.) Mike Tapp, the Home Office minister, has also been giving interviews. He told the BBC that he disagreed with Haigh. He said he did not think a handover like that would be realistic, because Burnham “hasn't laid out his political agendaâ€, he said. So there woud have to be a contest, he said. And that would mean “chaosâ€, he said.</p>","elementId":"ee63e6e3-035b-4119-806a-ae394913b0ae"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Tapp also said that, if Burnham were to replace Starmer, there would be “credible calls for a general electionâ€.</p>","elementId":"ff4616f8-316d-4615-bbad-2ed3aaa9b6c3"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>He said he wanted the government to be given time to 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Tapp on the BBC election programme.","caption":"Mike Tapp on the BBC election programme.","credit":"Photograph: BBC"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781833196000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"02.39 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781834228000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"02.57 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781833860000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"02.51 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"02.51","title":"Minister Mike Tapp criticises calls for Starmer to hand over to Burnham, saying that would trigger ‘credible calls’ for election","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a349cc08f083b97ede8b7c5","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Back to Scotland for a moment, and this is what <strong>Andrew Bowie</strong>, the shadow Scottish secretary, has said about his party's decisive win in Aberdeen South. (See <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a3493b08f083b97ede8b77c#block-6a3493b08f083b97ede8b77c">1.58am</a>.)</p>","elementId":"81ea4fef-5a71-4c14-b234-3e5600029141"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>This is an extraordinary victory for Douglas Lumsden MP and the Conservatives. This is the first time that the Conservative party has gained a Westminster parliamentary byelection in Scotland since 1967.</p>n <p>We said this election was a referendum on the future of North Sea oil and gas, and Aberdeen has spoken loud and clear. Let's Get Britain Drilling Now.</p>n <p>I look forward to Douglas joining the Conservative team in Westminster, where I know he will work tirelessly to hold Ed Miliband to account and stand up for the people of Aberdeen.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"6d38972b-c419-47ee-963f-fbca4b0e63d5"},{"displayCredit":true,"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.ImageBlockElement","role":"inline","media":{"allImages":[{"index":0,"fields":{"height":"4762","width":"7109"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/7109.jpg"},{"index":1,"fields":{"isMaster":"true","height":"4762","width":"7109"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg"},{"index":2,"fields":{"height":"1340","width":"2000"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/2000.jpg"},{"index":3,"fields":{"height":"670","width":"1000"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/1000.jpg"},{"index":4,"fields":{"height":"335","width":"500"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/500.jpg"},{"index":5,"fields":{"height":"94","width":"140"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/140.jpg"}]},"elementId":"4f809bf8-ae47-4de8-904a-59b2dc5199a2","imageSources":[{"weighting":"inline","srcSet":[{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=620&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=b623532320ee686accad9363dffb9efb","width":620},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=620&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=5df654c51f15457cb7cc29c2a2705c38","width":1240},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=605&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=b3c9c2cb9606303777d98c31add38ed7","width":605},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=605&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=0ece40de45d30e07d10ba05c65f7ff60","width":1210},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=445&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=add80498fec99af4169249a434cef31b","width":445},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=445&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=b1219238952cd9774f3d29ec2ceb1a11","width":890}]},{"weighting":"thumbnail","srcSet":[{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=140&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=f8b67120430b4dbf440c73dd1478c2b4","width":140},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=140&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=c8d3fa0c2bd24518e1c66685be83ecd3","width":280},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=120&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=33d44d3886d9c680cd5f67f430397c38","width":120},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=120&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=25afe0c52e5af09166aab18899d8c1c2","width":240}]},{"weighting":"supporting","srcSet":[{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=380&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=8200f09d273793fb21f228340ab07f84","width":380},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=380&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=9c47d8abc7af3a727f7ad8524bca7fe1","width":760},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=e61ce28d2c74f7ac0e700e244b8e0dd7","width":300},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=300&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=7ebe47bb84f48d42e218b8e8217e55f0","width":600},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=620&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=b623532320ee686accad9363dffb9efb","width":620},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=620&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=5df654c51f15457cb7cc29c2a2705c38","width":1240},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/507830822ab136de51dabdab57f5808804949ee9/0_0_7109_4762/master/7109.jpg?width=605&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=b3c9c2cb9606303777d98c31add38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Lumsden (front row, centre) and Andrew Bowie (front, right) celebrating with supporters after the byelection win.","caption":"Douglas Lumsden (front row, centre) and Andrew Bowie (front, right) celebrating with supporters after the byelection win.","credit":"Photograph: MichaÅ‚ Wachucik/PA"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781832896000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"02.34 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781847015000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"06.30 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781833154000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"02.39 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"02.39","title":"Tories say Aberdeen South their first Westminster byelection gain in Scotland for almost 60 years","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a349a058f087fb1fe061c3a","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><em>Hannah Al-Othman is a Guardian North of England correspondent.</em></p>","elementId":"51ff5e5a-75f8-468c-bd90-ff6aa8350497"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Lisa Nandy</strong> has said the Restore Britain vote “doesn't seem to be quite at the level that the polls suggestedâ€. (See<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a34066f8f083b97ede8b07d#block-6a34066f8f083b97ede8b07d"> 10.39pm</a>.)</p>","elementId":"89d0b3b1-d8e6-4d9a-96c6-78c0974b22a9"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>She said:</p>","elementId":"7992b720-1a50-40cb-aa29-4d38f3a5da39"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>I think there's a misunderstanding about the Restore vote here.</p>n <p>I've heard a lot of talk about how this is about Rupert Lowe and his profile, I've heard talk about how this is about them splitting the vote with Reform. Actually, they've always had a vote here, it's not significant, it's usually around six or seven percent of the vote, that if there's an openly racist party on the ballot, will come out and vote for it.</p>n <p>So the idea that somehow if Andy wins here tonight, it will be because Restore and Reform have split the vote, frankly, I can say it's for the birds. That group just stays at home if they don't have an openly racist party to vote for.</p>n <p>And so, it really is about whether the most popular Labour politician in the country can pull off a victory in one of the toughest seats, where we just lost in large numbers seven weeks ago to Reform.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"c69bca95-2b4e-40a0-b199-10ce4e053ffe"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>If Burnham does win, as expected, she said:</p>","elementId":"4677f870-387b-4e1e-8950-1296edab8dc1"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>I hope that we can find a way to pull together and turn our gaze out to the country.</p>n <p>I think it would be a tragedy if we were to descend into infighting and turn the conversation to ourselves.</p>n <p>The reason that Andy has received so much warmth for the campaign that he's run here is because it has been relentlessly positive, relentlessly hopeful.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"dfdce2c1-4405-4b32-8b09-103466c93b6f"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781832197000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"02.23 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781832617000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"02.30 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781832617000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"02.30 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"02.30","title":"Nandy dismisses claim Burnham only winning in Makerfield because Restore Britain split rightwing vote","contributors":[{"name":"Hannah Al-Othman"}],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a3498a88f08c4f67d4d34a6","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><em>Josh Halliday is the Guardian's North of England editor.</em></p>","elementId":"cd2e8a2e-f02b-4e18-9b4a-4667e8a70c7f"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Stop the press. <strong>Rupert Lowe</strong> just gave an interview to the Guardian – after calling me “a reptileâ€.</p>","elementId":"2d990572-bf3b-4931-a15e-1082139d2f30"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/restore-britain" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Restore Britain</a> leader said its vote was “somewhere in the region†of 10% which would be an “unbelievable†result for a party only four months old.</p>","elementId":"3c9d6058-a63f-4944-aad2-2d1665ee0503"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Lowe said it looked like Burnham's vote had held up “much better than I thought it wouldâ€.</p>","elementId":"1b493a48-fd1d-4a46-8c25-7e73d93c0904"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Earlier, a senior <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/labour" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Labour</a> source said Restore Britain activists had been involved in several incidents involving harassment during the campaign.</p>","elementId":"27d21334-b7b7-4fcb-a527-173cb0c69774"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>One of these incidents, witnessed by a Labour party member of staff, involved a taxi driver following a dispute with Restore Britain activists and local children, who then allegedly smashed the taxi driver's windscreen.</p>","elementId":"729cc3f2-108f-45c3-8710-3baf7db0302c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The incident is said to have taken place near Labour's campaign HQ in Stubshaw Cross on Wednesday night, the eve of the byelection. It has been reported to <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/uk/greater-manchester" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Greater Manchester</a> Police, the Labour source said.</p>","elementId":"bff0afcb-53df-4f0c-98d3-97e9126bea1c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>A separate incident apparently involved a taxi driver in the constituency being repeatedly asked where he was from by a Restore Britain activist. When told he was from Pakistan, the activist allegedly said he was campaigning to deport people like that taxi driver.</p>","elementId":"e113c14c-7988-4c29-850a-102d6a52fe9b"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked about these alleged incidents, Lowe said he had no knowledge of them but that he was sure “the police will deal with it appropriatelyâ€.</p>","elementId":"43456d2d-d8db-47e3-8005-834090755a47"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>“Today all I've seen is friendly banter amongst everybody,†he 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Lowe MP, the Restore Britain leader, speaking to reporters at the Makerfield count.","caption":"Rupert Lowe MP, the Restore Britain leader, speaking to reporters at the Makerfield count.","credit":"Photograph: Ryan Jenkinson/Getty Images"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781831848000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"02.17 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781832101000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"02.21 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781832102000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"02.21 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"02.21","title":"Rupert Lowe claims Restore Britain’s vote in Makerfield ‘much better’ than he expected","contributors":[{"name":"Josh Halliday","imageUrl":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2023/02/17/Josh_Halliday.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=75198ce42adf155c525f140f69bbc715","largeImageUrl":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2023/02/17/Josh_Halliday.png?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=d3e87335af9aba898c8800e472d75439"}],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a3495fd8f083b97ede8b783","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The SNP have held Arbroath and Broughty Ferry. Reform came second and <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/labour" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Labour</a>, who were in second place, less than 1,000 votes behind the SNP in 2024, came fourth.</p>","elementId":"1e414fab-c8d4-4cff-9067-d7e75d92c1ab"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Here are the results in full from the Press Association.</p>","elementId":"0bfc64bd-8cb3-4a05-bfb0-7a7acdac4c2c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>SNP hold</p>","elementId":"84bff2e1-c6e6-4458-9d6f-ad6e659ed128"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Lara Bird (SNP) 9,802 (40.39%, +5.07%)</p>","elementId":"c19c95e2-5ac4-485c-82a5-1828243dc788"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Bill Reid (Reform) 4,841 (19.95%, +11.33%)</p>","elementId":"ba7c0b28-d03d-4efb-ab2b-3ff3c0538ede"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Jack Cruickshanks (C) 4,524 (18.64%, +3.13%)</p>","elementId":"2ba55c38-ccb4-465b-b4dd-c8c93f9ff2a3"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Heather Doran (Lab) 3,651 (15.04%, -18.33%)</p>","elementId":"bf9817f2-8d2d-4e23-8219-34449599a3bd"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Tanvir Ahmad (LD) 1,452 (5.98%, +0.88%)</p>","elementId":"d053d68b-3b48-4009-9f72-389f8c625eec"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>SNP maj 4,961 (20.44%)</p>","elementId":"1f1ddb2c-fb78-4e97-b0db-c7d49aa08c1e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>3.13% swing SNP to Reform</p>","elementId":"f34732f6-c2b0-4843-b689-6ebe3c1b16ad"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Electorate 75,985; Turnout 24,270 (31.94%, -25.99%)</p>","elementId":"1faa5f17-4f88-4397-b155-6a108ecde8cd"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781831165000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"02.06 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781831392000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"02.09 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781831392000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"02.09 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"02.09","title":"SNP hold Arbroath and Broughty Ferry, with Labour pushed into 4th place – results in full","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a348e0f8f087fb1fe061bd1","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Louise Haigh</strong>, the former transport secretary who has been one of the key figures running Andy Burnham's byelection campaign in Makerfield, has told the BBC that, if Burnham wins (and she is clearly confident that he has won), Keir Starmer should stand aside.</p>","elementId":"f1837224-b985-41fd-95f4-35d465f15d15"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>She said that in those circumstances Starmer should “reflect on the resultsâ€, and on how much better they were with Burnham as a candidate than they were for <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/labour" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Labour</a> in the local elections, and then “do what's best for the partyâ€.</p>","elementId":"0684feab-5470-4fb1-bd72-72ebb08d0d0f"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked what she meant by this, Haigh said:</p>","elementId":"afa7ebd0-dcfe-4770-a0af-ec26ffad3d66"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>I hope that he would consider an orderly and managed transition.</p>n <p>We have said that [Labour] is in an existential crisis and things cannot continue. And it was quite clear after the local elections, unfortunately, that he considered that business as usual would suffice.</p>n <p>Andy has potentially shown tonight that what a change the Labour party can bring … Without that optimism and without that on the ballot paper, then we will see a Reform prime minister at the next general election.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"00bc289e-f415-4c06-9147-f75af13eb128"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked how quickly she wanted the PM to depart, Haigh said that was up to the prime minister. Burnham would not be challenging in the immediate aftermath of the byelection, she said. He would want to speak to the PM “in the coming daysâ€, she said.</p>","elementId":"dfbb3ac7-d58c-4ef8-b5b4-e30e4a2cdaca"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked if she was talking about weeks or months, Haigh repeated the point about how this was in the PM's hands.</p>","elementId":"ac74e328-5b4f-4dd3-b017-d76bb80de7ca"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>She also said that Wes Streeting was still threatening to trigger a leadership contest.</p>","elementId":"a8444605-1fd9-43b1-b1f6-56366065b48d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked whether there should be a contest, she said she understood the arguments in favour of one. But she went on:</p>","elementId":"cc9c276d-7007-43b5-9ec7-24f8bb20fc16"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>If an agreement can be made between potential candidates, then that's all for the better.</p>n <p>I think dragging any process out for any length of time would be difficult for the Labour party, but more crucially for the government.</p>n <p>I think if that can be avoided and all parties can come to an agreement, that's all for the best.</p>n <p>But of course, if we're into a contest and people decide to trigger it, then that's that's where we are.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"c3766623-dbe5-4641-b243-a4da97bd6ff5"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked if Burnham could be the PM within weeks, Haigh said she did not want to predetermine the outcome of any discussions. She said it was for the PM to decide. But she hoped he would reflect on what was best for the party and the country.</p>","elementId":"ae7dc2ec-3723-4c38-9c4f-e1ebacd4cc29"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Burnham's allies have been saying this sort of thing in private for some time.</p>","elementId":"c25e9cb4-a06d-4c88-a27d-952353212db9"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>But it is significant that someone so close to Burnham is now publicly saying Starmer should agree to an “orderly transitionâ€.</p>","elementId":"fb3815cb-a399-4aab-bbe7-d9cd7c62135c"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781829135000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"01.32 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781831102000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"02.05 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781831102000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"02.05 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"02.05","title":"Burnham ally Louise Haigh says Starmer should agreed to ‘orderly and managed transition’ of power","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a3493b08f083b97ede8b77c","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The Conservatives have won a huge victory in <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/uk/aberdeen" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Aberdeen</a> South. Here are the full figures from the Press Association</p>","elementId":"0ab115ff-9c49-410f-9227-365808112223"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>C gain from SNP</p>","elementId":"4667dea6-5139-4044-9683-14853f3a7162"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Douglas Lumsden (C) 14,308 (49.51%, +25.13%)</p>","elementId":"aecbedd7-e3fa-4acf-b252-d79262866346"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Richard Thomson (SNP) 8,258 (28.58%, -4.25%)</p>","elementId":"ff3c287d-0710-4a87-8449-8afc9fea0f46"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Jo Hart (Reform) 2,478 (8.58%, +1.67%)</p>","elementId":"562a63b3-320a-4220-ae3e-8297f8290c43"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Nurul Ali (Lab) 1,550 (5.36%, -19.35%)</p>","elementId":"2eda05f0-58ef-446c-ae54-d224bfbda883"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Mel Sullivan (LD) 1,270 (4.39%, -1.91%)</p>","elementId":"db0e0537-f85d-4d4b-aed9-0965457bf61b"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Jorg Shelton-Eckstein (Green) 974 (3.37%, -0.10%)</p>","elementId":"811f24dc-9c16-4d4d-930b-f9cee7c68476"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>David Ballantine (ADF) 59 (0.20%)</p>","elementId":"12339c41-680b-4db0-911a-8010d001b57d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>C maj 6,050 (20.94%)</p>","elementId":"422b5ba8-c7dc-449f-9fe7-2e7738b3f5a0"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>14.69% swing SNP to C</p>","elementId":"dc471a30-9300-40c8-a62a-768a31c36c7e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Electorate 76,033; Turnout 28,897 (38.01%, -21.93%)</p>","elementId":"3d8e5cf5-d6f9-4dc2-b195-bc421a702568"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781830576000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"01.56 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781830699000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"01.58 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781830699000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"01.58 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"01.58","title":"Tories win Aberdeen South with majority of 6,050 – results in full","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a348ceb8f083b97ede8b739","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The Scottish National party (SNP) has conceded defeat in the formerly safe seat of Aberdeen South in a shock loss to the Scottish Conservatives, <strong>Severin Carrell</strong> reports.</p>","elementId":"1f4720fd-76bb-449c-8731-010dadb51637"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement","prefix":"Related: ","text":"SNP concedes Aberdeen South with Scottish Conservatives set to win","elementId":"7f524f31-bd9c-470a-9cc0-baf73278269c","role":"thumbnail","url":"https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/19/snp-concedes-aberdeen-south-with-scottish-conservatives-set-to-win"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781828843000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"01.27 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781828988000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"01.29 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781828988000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"01.29 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"01.29","title":"SNP concedes Aberdeen South with Scottish Conservatives set to win","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a348bad8f083b97ede8b730","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Sarah Pochin</strong>, the Reform UK MP, <a href="https://x.com/christiancalgie/status/2067733106166042856">told GB News</a> a bit earlier that her party would be “very happy†to come a strong second in Makerfield.</p>","elementId":"c7ba4b1c-cb49-4712-8422-ed165ded7d35"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>That is not technically a concession. 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Pochin being interviewed at the Makerfield count.","caption":"Sarah Pochin being interviewed at the Makerfield count.","credit":"Photograph: Adam Vaughan/EPA"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781828525000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"01.22 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781828705000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"01.25 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781828705000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"01.25 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"01.25","title":"Reform UK ‘very happy’ to come a strong second in Makerfield, says Sarah Pochin","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a3488ec8f087fb1fe061bb4","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><em>Josh Halliday is the Guardian's North of England 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An official spokesperson would not comment on numbers but said they believe it's “fairly close†and that “no one's running away with it.â€</p>","elementId":"aeea2e78-c657-4e8b-9af0-4241e82ce916"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The spokesperson denied reports that Nigel Farage had left Makerfield, saying he had just been on the phone to him and he was still in the constituency.</p>","elementId":"bd76416d-24ac-4cfb-b731-ff333e7af7c8"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Separately, a senior Labour source said it did not look like <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/restore-britain" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Restore Britain</a> had been able to turnout its vote to the level that some had predicted.</p>","elementId":"29c0555b-9619-4f20-b6df-23daebb69fe5"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>They said Rupert Lowe's hardline anti-immigration party could “possibly†achieve 7% of the vote but it was very unlikely to be higher than that.</p>","elementId":"da910e36-e9e5-4dc3-a1c6-6f0d8b9f92e3"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Lowe, who is giving a series of media interviews, is believed to be claiming to have won 10% of the vote.</p>","elementId":"eccf877e-d61c-44b5-9d1d-b116a7fb9dca"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781827820000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"01.10 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781828071000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"01.14 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781828072000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"01.14 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"01.14","title":"Reform UK gloomy about prospects in Makerfield, as one party source says Labour ahead by 2,500 votes","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a3484d68f08c4f67d4d3414","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>And here is the turnout from the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry byelection. It was was 31.36% – down from 57.9% at the 2024 general election.</p>","elementId":"00a8efaf-6117-4b27-8ede-728b73e15280"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><em>UPDATE:</em> This has been corrected because the initial figure wrongly said these were the figures for the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/uk/aberdeen" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Aberdeen</a> South byelection.</p>","elementId":"9f8aaf2c-868c-491f-af74-6e21eae58511"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781826774000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"00.52 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781830305000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"01.51 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781826922000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"00.55 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"00.55","title":"Turnout in Arbroath and Broughty Ferry byelection 31.4% – down almost 30 points from general election","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a3482d48f083b97ede8b6fb","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>We have the turnout figure for Makerfield now. It was turnout is 58.75% – up from 52.5% at the general election.</p>","elementId":"97a59683-f05f-4d86-9df5-f1867d405535"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>There were 45,510 votes cast.</p>","elementId":"5d904741-40d4-4f2d-9995-ab9c17a87dd1"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781826260000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"00.44 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781826644000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"00.50 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781826363000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"00.46 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"00.46","title":"Turnout in Makerfield 58.75% – six points up on general election","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a347f178f08c4f67d4d33ee","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Lisa Nandy</strong>, the culture secretary and MP for Wigan, the constituency next door to Makerfield, has told Sky News that Labour is “cautiously optimistic†about winning the byelection.</p>","elementId":"33759742-6f10-4953-a69c-76b3321a1f5d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>She said:</p>","elementId":"595a595d-6e19-4cb0-ac5a-10b4bf00cac7"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>We're cautiously optimistic. We always knew this would be a hard fight, but we are definitely seeing that Andy Burnham is able to pull some of our voters back from Reform in a way that just seven weeks ago at the local elections we would not thought was possible. We lost every ward in Makerfield to Reform at the local elections just seven short weeks ago and not be a small amount – by thousands of votes …</p>n <p>Whatever the result here tonight, the lesson is that we can actually change people's minds, we can bring people back to us, we can defeat some of the division and anger that has been on display in this constituency in recent weeks.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"db8000e6-9636-4945-8463-c70abba48e9d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Sometimes you can read too much into pictures, but the smile on Nandy's face suggests “cautiously optimistic†might be a bit of an 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dominates","elementId":"f26b0485-10b1-4bf0-b3d4-f1debdabe748","role":"thumbnail","url":"https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/17/oil-gas-industry-aberdeen-south-byelection-snp-tories-energy-policy"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Kemi Badenoch</strong> has said, if her party wins this byelection, it will be <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/16/andy-burnham-makerfield-labour-reform-keir-starmer-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a317c1a8f0824095b8b5a17#block-6a317c1a8f0824095b8b5a17">a vote for more oil and gas drilling in the North 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Keep winning.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"34d7ed53-009a-476d-93c5-918dc71ed518"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Asked about this <a href="https://x.com/SkyNews/status/2067729568291533013">on Sky News</a>, Pochin stressed her record as a magistrate dealing with domestic violence and defended the point she was making – that this is a link between teams losing, and increased incidents of domestic violence.</p>","elementId":"4221777f-f3db-4062-8cdd-2eb876bb2290"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>But she did not seem to grasp that people<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-polls-open-labour-leadership-andy-burnham-keir-starmer-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a340a1e8f083b97ede8b0d0#block-6a340a1e8f083b97ede8b0d0"> are criticising her</a> for not explicitly condemning the abusers, and instead suggesting it was somehow the England football team's 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Reform UK MP Sarah Pochin at the Makerfield count tonight, standing alongside Christopher Hope from GB News.","caption":"The Reform UK MP Sarah Pochin at the Makerfield count tonight, standing alongside Christopher Hope from GB News. ","credit":"Photograph: Oli Scarff/AFP/Getty Images"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781821792000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"23.29 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781822537000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"23.42 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781822538000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"23.42 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"23.42","title":"Reform UK’s Sarah Pochin defends video urging England team to ‘keep winning’ to stop domestic violence escalating","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a3406ee8f083b97ede8b087","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/makerfield-byelection" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Makerfield byelection</a> has regularly been described as potentially the most consequential byelection in British history. People have written that on the assumption that Andy Burnham will win, and that he will replace Keir Starmer as PM. While those both seem to be reasonable assumptions, in a country with a history of parliamentary government as long as Britain's a description of any event that involves saying it is the most consequential ever is probably not strictly accurate.</p>","elementId":"3f02014b-a324-44e4-b075-047f56bb3647"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Here are just a handful examples of other byelections that have been similar to this one in some respects, or highly influential.</p>","elementId":"e5dc5e45-5cd6-437f-9b3c-16b6858a389d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><em><strong>Byelections involving potential party leaders</strong></em></p>","elementId":"f0fd4dea-30c0-4658-8056-157f69264aaa"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>In Makerfield Burnham supporters think they are voting for the next Labour leader, and <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/keir-starmer" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Keir Starmer</a> has had to support the Labour candidate while at the same time fearing him as a rival. Neil Kinnock was in a similar position at the <strong>1984 Chesterfield byelection</strong>, which was won by Tony Benn, hero of the Labour left. Benn might have beaten Kinnock in the Labour leadership election a year earlier had he not lost his seat in the general election. He was still seen as a rival in 1984 but the byelection win did not propel him to the leadership and, when there was a contest in 1988, Kinnock beat him easily.</p>","elementId":"1c76f1ef-47b2-43d3-8fdd-2f1b40cc5a8e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>William Hague, the then Tory leader, must have had similar emotions when Michael Portillo contested the <strong>1999 Kensington and Chelsea byelection</strong>. Portillo too had missed a leadership election he might have won because he had been out of parliament in a general election. A few months later Hague promoted Portillo to shadow chancellor and deputy leader in the hope of neutralising a rival, but Portillo's influence had peaked and in a subsequent contest he was beaten by Iain Duncan Smith.</p>","elementId":"16ea4451-4ca8-4319-bc4a-f5ef714001c2"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><em><strong>Byelections that choose prime ministers</strong></em></p>","elementId":"b16d808c-ce39-47e0-ad4c-2fd530852471"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Makerfield might be electing not just a party leader, but a future prime minister. This is not unprecedented because at the <strong>1963 Kinross and Perthshire byelection</strong> voters elected an actual prime minister, Alec Douglas-Home. He had been chosen by the Tories as PM three weeks earlier, but at that point he was in the Lords. Taking advantage of legislation passed to help Tony Benn give up his peerage, he quit the Lords and entered the Commons after a Scottish Tory MP (George Younger – the Josh Simons of his day) sacrificed his seat for him .</p>","elementId":"6aac1ec4-8e3e-46b3-a18e-5a5f045cf3f4"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>There are other byelections that have been won by people who have gone on to serve as PM (like Robert Peel and Stanley Baldwin), but in<a href="https://www.bitebackpublishing.com/books/british-by-elections"> British Byelections 1769-2025</a>, a brilliant selection of essays on this topic edited by Iain Dale, Alex Puffette argues that it was losing the <strong>1899 Oldham byelection</strong> that was really important for Winston Churchill because it meant he was able to make his name as a star war correspondent in the Boer war which did more to benefit his career in the long run.</p>","elementId":"07fdac13-ccfe-459d-a4c3-09e0aebe3218"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Byelections that bring down governments</strong></p>","elementId":"872aad53-e87f-41b7-8e79-159c9ac40808"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Makerfield may lead to the replacement of Keir Starmer at PM. But it won't bring down the government, unlike the <strong>1922 Newport byelection</strong> that led to Conservative MPs deciding to pull the plug on the Lloyd George-led coalition. Austen Chamberlain, the Tory leader at the time, expected <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/labour" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Labour</a> to win, but the seat was won by an anti-coalition Unionist (Tory), and the party decided voters were fed up of the pact with the Liberals.</p>","elementId":"8847c11a-c542-4584-a627-28e641cf36a0"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>In more recent times the <strong>1990 Eastbourne byelection</strong> defeat helped persuade the Tories that Margaret Thatcher had to go, and the <strong>2022 Tiverton and Honiton</strong> byelection defeat, and the <strong>Wakefield byelection</strong> defeat on the same night, helped to finish off Boris Johnson.</p>","elementId":"65041e8c-ebd8-48bc-a66e-dbf09f48aff4"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Byelections that change policy</strong></p>","elementId":"d6218125-164c-41c1-acbf-6ad84a6d5ba7"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>If Makerfield leads to Starmer being replaced by Burnham, government policy may change. But perhaps not be much. For a really consequential election, try going back almost 200 years to the <strong>1828 County Clare byelection</strong>, which was won by the Irish Catholic Daniel O'Connell (later known as “the liberatorâ€). As a Catholic, he was not allowed to take his seat in the Commons under the laws then in place. But his win led to the governmment passing Catholic emancipation, opening up most public offices to Catholics at a time when all of Ireland was ruled by London, and most of its population was barred from public life.</p>","elementId":"369f03b1-6a94-4497-8f48-75f675a26db6"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781816568000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"22.02 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781819860000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"22.57 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781819785000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"22.56 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"22.56","title":"Will Makerfield really be the most consequential byelection in British history?","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34066f8f083b97ede8b07d","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Robert Kenyon</strong>, the Reform UK candidate, says he is expecting a “big vote†in Makerfield. (See<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a3461078f08c4f67d4d3307#block-6a3461078f08c4f67d4d3307"> 10.26am</a>.) That's a reasonable assumption. Two years ago, when he was the party's general election candidate, Kenyon came second here with 32% of the vote. (See <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-keir-starmer-andy-burnham-robert-kenyon-labour-leadership-reform-aberdeen-arbroath-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6a34010b8f087fb1fe061487#block-6a34010b8f087fb1fe061487">10.27pm</a>.) This time there have been five published byelection polls, from four polling companies, and all of them show Reform UK polling well above 32%.</p>","elementId":"c12b25e7-4904-4316-823a-9888cc37f913"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>But they also all show <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/labour" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Labour</a> winning.</p>","elementId":"e2eaa8b5-0ce2-433a-ada7-d5c870ddd7ea"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Here are the figures – in a chart posted by Mark Pack <a href="https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/makerfields-verdict-what-the-polls">on his the Week in Polls Substack blog.</a></p>","elementId":"f1f46fbc-b7e5-4aa0-89fc-0d9877c1a254"},{"displayCredit":true,"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.ImageBlockElement","role":"inline","media":{"allImages":[{"index":0,"fields":{"height":"1116","width":"2186"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/2186.jpg"},{"index":1,"fields":{"isMaster":"true","height":"1116","width":"2186"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg"},{"index":2,"fields":{"height":"1021","width":"2000"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/2000.jpg"},{"index":3,"fields":{"height":"511","width":"1000"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/1000.jpg"},{"index":4,"fields":{"height":"255","width":"500"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/500.jpg"},{"index":5,"fields":{"height":"71","width":"140"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/140.jpg"}]},"elementId":"272a5710-52b5-4021-b33a-27c7de441b2e","imageSources":[{"weighting":"inline","srcSet":[{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=620&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=c1ae1e3c8275fcb96c082a751f8cce1f","width":620},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=620&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=03958c13a0766cdce1f7aaf54fd414de","width":1240},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=605&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=8f604b7df7376e1de211ea3afc6d10a5","width":605},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=605&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=c774929f249ca55947a01f7cb5ac98d0","width":1210},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=445&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=3570b67c382c69f0a99ec6814458a716","width":445},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=445&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=1e490ce2ecaca5f1d13afdd9ca0eb6b3","width":890}]},{"weighting":"thumbnail","srcSet":[{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=140&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=973624d9702c83d4be2b1d791860ab00","width":140},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=140&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=64a3b65b205a6adea665002c21efae4a","width":280},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=120&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=fb7b099821913cd0cdedd46c3c0fd12f","width":120},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=120&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=d48be9d30ecd55363ecfd727c5036634","width":240}]},{"weighting":"supporting","srcSet":[{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=380&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=576fce6c99cff251601d1f5550317a26","width":380},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=380&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=4cfec7bf25eb1dbc167bbee9bbf912fd","width":760},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=d28d43e74fc4ae29a4def9b944d67a57","width":300},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=300&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=0830f730ae9cb4a452fe7ec1c3c0f2fb","width":600},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=620&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=c1ae1e3c8275fcb96c082a751f8cce1f","width":620},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=620&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=03958c13a0766cdce1f7aaf54fd414de","width":1240},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/808423642fcb467d4e7b77b8917bbc695c29de03/0_0_2186_1116/master/2186.jpg?width=605&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=8f604b7df7376e1de211ea3afc6d10a5","width":6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polling","caption":"Makerfield polling","credit":"Photograph: Mark Pack's Substack, the Week in Polls"}},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The reason why <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/brexit-party" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Reform UK</a> can do much better than two years ago, but still lose, is because there seems to have been a lot of tactical voting – especially on the Labour/progressive side. People who may have voted Lib Dem or Green two years ago seem to have been voting Labour.</p>","elementId":"b67f0cd7-5164-4885-92ef-c53321c7cf72"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781816568000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"22.02 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781818774000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"22.39 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781818774000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"22.39 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"22.39","title":"What polls have said about likely voting in Makerfield","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a34010b8f087fb1fe061487","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>For the record, here are the 2024 general election results in all three constituencies where byelections have taken place 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of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry constitutency","caption":"Location of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry constitutency","credit":"Photograph: Wikipedia"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781816568000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"22.02 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781818072000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"22.27 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781818072000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"22.27 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"22.27","title":"How Makerfield, Aberdeen South, and Arbroath and Broughty Ferry voted in 2024","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a3461078f08c4f67d4d3307","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Andy Burnham</strong> has posted <a href="https://x.com/AndyBurnhamGM/status/2067717278636839205">this message</a> on social media.</p>","elementId":"23270945-dd25-4f0c-a5b6-8106b442f3ce"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>A huge thanks to the people of the Makerfield constituency for your patience and good humour over the last five weeks. My thanks too to the many volunteers who came up to support my campaign. We ran a very positive one and can be proud of 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with Burnham’s end-of-poll tweet","caption":"Image with Burnham’s end-of-poll tweet","credit":"Photograph: Andy Burnham"}},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Would Burnham be saying thank you to the constituency if he thought he had lost?</p>","elementId":"01714a10-e839-4841-898a-2adb30794644"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>And here is <a href="https://x.com/RobKenyonReform/status/2067716815287906808">the message</a> from Burnham's main rival, <strong>Robert Kenyon</strong>, the Reform UK candidate.</p>","elementId":"1019b3d1-7850-4b52-baff-9bcbc1cd117b"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>This photo was taken on the day I decided to stand in Makerfield.</p>n <p>I am confident of a big vote for Reform tonight. Thank you to everyone who placed their faith in me.</p>n <p>From changing boilers to changing politics, this is something I will never forget!</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"e8689eb1-e1b0-442e-87c6-4d72b2be7c1e"},{"displayCredit":true,"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.ImageBlockElement","role":"inline","media":{"allImages":[{"index":0,"fields":{"height":"1344","width":"1982"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/1982.jpg"},{"index":1,"fields":{"isMaster":"true","height":"1344","width":"1982"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg"},{"index":2,"fields":{"height":"678","width":"1000"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/1000.jpg"},{"index":3,"fields":{"height":"339","width":"500"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/500.jpg"},{"index":4,"fields":{"height":"95","width":"140"},"mediaType":"Image","mimeType":"image/jpeg","url":"https://media.guim.co.uk/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/140.jpg"}]},"elementId":"8ed91d41-4630-4dc8-b49e-90d65e01c1e3","imageSources":[{"weighting":"inline","srcSet":[{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=620&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=8aa073e8e11aea4a49c07f95220746b2","width":620},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=620&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=6a960a53e9cac1d7c64265e95d5d7018","width":1240},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=605&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=089a6acae4569201ab99be53d3e6b541","width":605},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=605&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=53f2958b77ed8a58e7c8d5f1a522cce1","width":1210},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=445&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=bb5b7d9079eb22ec09753e28a92e174d","width":445},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=445&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=d0060126e01e8422d40c50567fe27dde","width":890}]},{"weighting":"thumbnail","srcSet":[{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=140&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=82a48185955b40baab1bed768eafd546","width":140},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=140&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=a5418c1d9df911794d43dc4a4bfbac84","width":280},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=120&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=cdf65147cc463e4842148ecb7dcde790","width":120},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=120&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=c7c5a0cfd4d9f319b9d7409359e9e4bb","width":240}]},{"weighting":"supporting","srcSet":[{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=380&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=d496b3a24520345b1b9061e3533ed74a","width":380},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=380&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=aa09e772ec0c75ac46faa12fcb3092c3","width":760},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=8e97d460259639af78a616f18047a9b5","width":300},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=300&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=457e9a29c476aa7af3fb084c755bb788","width":600},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=620&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=8aa073e8e11aea4a49c07f95220746b2","width":620},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=620&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=6a960a53e9cac1d7c64265e95d5d7018","width":1240},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=605&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=089a6acae4569201ab99be53d3e6b541","width":605},{"src":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4da6bb4f55517d6ba3dd36980e1ac50b34b1ffff/0_0_1982_1344/master/1982.jpg?width=605&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=53f2958b77ed8a58e7c8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of Kenyon he posted with his end-of-poll tweet","caption":"Picture of Kenyon he posted with his end-of-poll tweet","credit":"Photograph: Robert Kenyon"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781817607000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"22.20 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781817992000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"22.26 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781817992000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"22.26 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"22.26","title":"Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon says he’s confident of getting ‘big vote’ in Makerfield byelection","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a345f3f8f08c4f67d4d32ef","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Labour has just released this statement from <strong>Lucy Powell</strong>, the party's deputy leader (and a friend and supporter of Andy Burnham's), about the 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She said:</p>","elementId":"0bcb6e64-7779-4a97-a533-a1874ab637dc"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Our great candidate, Andy Burnham, and our fantastic Labour team have run a positive campaign focused on the people of the Makerfield constituency.</p>n <p>We knew this would be a tough fight, given Reform did so well here just a few weeks ago, but the Labour movement came together to show we are well up for that fight. While it will be some hours before we know the result, I want to say a huge thank you to the hundreds and hundreds of activists and volunteers who have helped with this campaign. Together, we've spoken to a record number of residents and shared our Labour message of hope and optimism.<br><br>n Labour will continue working every day for the people of this country, putting our values into action and delivering the fairer future communities want to see.</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"39654d77-1860-4e12-9703-6c37b0a17527"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>It is hard to read much into this, but if the party was expecting to lose, there would be rather more about the “tough fight†in the statement.</p>","elementId":"22f71e4d-abd2-476f-b18b-6d4c2b59053d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The line about speaking to a “record number of residents†is no idle boast. Earlier my colleague <strong>Jessica Elgot</strong> posted<a href="https://x.com/jessicaelgot/status/2067634532241535332"> these</a> about the campaign effort today.</p>","elementId":"f58138a9-8abc-48e3-b9eb-3dfdd01c26d3"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>Never seen anything like this as a Labour ground operation. 120 contacts a minute, three campaign centres, 3000 activists.</p>n <p>At 6.30pm, two activists told me there is “no one left to knock.â€</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"6c892b5a-1d19-4a77-9761-47e451fad03c"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781817151000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"22.12 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781817488000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"22.18 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781817488000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"22.18 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"22.18","title":"Deputy Labour leader Lucy Powell says Labour has spoken to ‘record number of residents’ in ‘positive campaign’","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a345def8f083b97ede8b5be","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Three economic heavyweights have been brought in to advise Andy Burnham as he attempts to reassure the markets before his possible return to parliament on Friday and <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/17/how-quickly-could-andy-burnham-become-the-uks-prime-minister">challenge to Keir Starmer</a>, <strong>Rowena Mason</strong> reports.</p>","elementId":"9b5a3d71-5a44-4ffd-a846-4b00d17121e0"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Burnham is understood to be getting advice from <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/andy-haldane">Andy Haldane</a>, a former Bank of England chief economist, as well as Richard Hughes, a former chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility and Jim O'Neill, a crossbench peer and former Treasury minister who worked on George Osborne's Northern Powerhouse.</p>","elementId":"3ea11e5a-5bd1-4f02-b711-af8de1055636"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement","prefix":"Related: ","text":"Burnham brings in top economists before possible leadership run","elementId":"3f3d2e3f-6c50-461c-ae6c-6490ff5e56eb","role":"thumbnail","url":"https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/18/andy-burnham-top-economists-possible-leadership-run"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781816815000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"22.06 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781816915000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"22.08 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781816916000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"22.08 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"22.08","title":"Burnham brings in top economists before possible leadership run","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"},{"id":"6a33b9d88f083b97ede8ac0c","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Good evening, and welcome to the Guardian's <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/makerfield-byelection" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Makerfield byelection</a> live blog. The polls have just closed and we may have to wait until around dawn (quite early in the summer, of course) until we get a result. But, as the votes are counted, it should become clear well before then who is going to win. Andy Burnham, the Labour former cabinet minister, current mayor of Greater Manchester, and potential future prime minister, is widely expected to be the new MP, but at this point no one knows for sure.</p>","elementId":"72ba0828-a916-4352-826f-c971e2386af4"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Here is our latest story about what has been happening today, and what may unfold in the hours to come.</p>","elementId":"9bd6ddca-4279-4029-9d2e-829b20c34649"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement","prefix":"Related: ","text":"Polls close in Makerfield byelection as Andy Burnham eyes No 10","elementId":"207f833c-35da-4226-b34e-b743c6c77a33","role":"thumbnail","url":"https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/18/makerfield-byelection-labour-andy-burnham-no-10"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>This byelection has been widely described as the most consequential byelection in British history. That's probably an over-statement, but more on that later. Nevertheless, it is definitely one for the history books, because it is expected to lead to the replacement of <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/keir-starmer" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Keir Starmer</a> as PM.</p>","elementId":"6635b5cd-05c2-4c9e-9045-5a8006d43422"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>During the night we will get the result; ultimately democratic politics is all about numbers, and these numbers really will matter. In his <a href="https://spectator.com/article/as-soon-as-andy-wins-the-world-changes-burnhams-plans-for-power/">Spectator cover story</a>, <strong>Tim Shipman</strong> has a good explanation as to why.</p>","elementId":"f2b62e5d-82ee-4672-8523-288156deb9ce"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement","html":"<blockquote class="quoted">n <p>At the time of going to print, Op Makerfield is not a totally done deal. Two of Burnham's top team parrot the same line: ‘It's closer than you think.' But those advising the Manchester mayor think the scale of any win will determine the speed of events. ‘If he wins by low single digits, Keir Starmer digs in and says: “You can't come for me until after the Manchester mayoral election on 30 July,†and it's bloody trench warfare,' one says. ‘If it's a comfortable, single-digits win, the soft left will try to take power through a conversation, but they will probably discover that power has to be taken by force. If Andy gets more than Reform plus Restore combined, start the clock. There will be an avalanche.'</p>n</blockquote>","elementId":"8308ed81-a9db-4e8b-b22c-30010d4e9055"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Voting figures are very specific but, as for what happens next, there is a lot less clarity. Overnight, and during Friday, we might get a slightly clearer idea, but it is quite possible that by this time tomorrow there will still be considerable uncertainty as to how a Burnham/Starmer power struggle may unfold. <strong>Pippa Crerar</strong> had a superb account of the state of play in her Guardian splash this morning.</p>","elementId":"940e732c-e8f0-4d11-a677-efe7baea723f"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement","prefix":"Related: ","text":"Burnham team tell ministers to delay resignations to avoid chaos","elementId":"ebca742e-4090-4b80-93fc-e292266347e4","role":"thumbnail","url":"https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/17/exclusive-burnham-team-convince-ministers-delay-resignations-avoid-chaos"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Of course, it is possible <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/brexit-party" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Reform UK</a> could win. That would also lead to immense turmoil for Labour – with less prospect of a positive resolution for the party.</p>","elementId":"c15f0533-baea-45ad-9a3f-4807c66e102c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Although we will be focusing on Makerfield, there are two other byelections tonight, in <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/uk/aberdeen" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Aberdeen</a> South, and Arbroath and Broughty Ferry. We will be covering those too.</p>","elementId":"448555c2-2602-4011-9959-007ed1892856"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>At 11.10pm the BBC will be launching its byelection programme, hosted by Laura Kuenssberg. As for when the results will come, we've been told around 1.30am for Aberdeen South, around 3am to 4am for Makerfield and around the same for Arbroath and Broughty Ferry. But these estimates are never very reliable.</p>","elementId":"4bbbdb31-1545-4d6f-a256-a07b8ecfb1d6"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>We hope to turn comments on in the morning. Overnight, if you want to flag something up urgently, it is best to use social media. You can reach me on Bluesky at @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social. The Guardian has <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/media/2024/nov/13/the-guardian-no-longer-post-on-x-twitter-elon-musk">given up posting from its official accounts on X</a>, but individual Guardian journalists are there, I still have my account, and if you message me there at @AndrewSparrow, I will see it and respond if necessary.</p>","elementId":"feb1bd13-d37e-4e8c-a934-e0aa48a9b183"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>I find it very helpful when readers point out mistakes, even minor typos. No error is too small to correct. And I find your questions very interesting too. I can't promise to reply to them all, but I will try to reply to as many as I can, either BTL or sometimes in the blog.</p>","elementId":"eb4a1c83-6ef5-4cd3-a42a-ba37f413e4f5"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1781816568000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"22.02 BST","blockLastUpdated":1781816950000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"22.09 BST","blockFirstPublished":1781816568000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"22.02 BST","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"22.02","title":"Polls close in historic Makerfield byelection that could see Andy Burnham elected and pave way for end of Starmer","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Fri 19 Jun 2026 08.06 BST","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Thu 18 Jun 2026 22.02 BST"}],"id":"key-events-carousel-mobile","renderingTarget":"Web","serverTime":1781852826180}”>

Key events

Kemi Badenoch is expected in Aberdeen this morning, where she will be celebrating her party's first gain in a Scottish Westminster byelection for almost 60 years. (See 2.39am.)

Badenoch (or whoever manages her social media account) has also reposted a tweet from James Cleverly, the shadow housing secretary, celebrating two council byelection results which saw the Tories gaining seats from Reform UK. Cleverly said: “When people see what Reform is like in office, they change their minds about Reform.â€